The 4th of July has come and gone and it is time to take a look at the coastal Maine real estate market at the halfway point of the year.
At present there are over 800 single family homes for sale in Lincoln County. 149 have sold since January 1 of this year. That does not mean we have a 5+ year supply of inventory. It means this has been a very bad year to put your home on the market. In a normal year we(our collective MLS participating brokers) will sell 400 to 500 homes.
Given all the bad news we are bombarded with every day it's pretty amazing that the market is doing as well as it is. Ordinarily as the stock market falls people will shift their money into real estate, a tangible asset that they can also use to either live in or generate income in the form of rent. Unfortunately just as several factors helped to contribute to the stock markets decline (weak dollar, rising commodity prices, Mideast geopolitical uncertainty) a self inflicted credit crisis dragged the real estate market down, too.
There is light at the end of this tunnel. Steep short term interest rate reductions implemented in the first quarter of the year should begin to help the economy. Oil prices seem to have stabilized and may even begin to move down a little. The governments stimulus package is filtering into the hands of 120 million consumers and has to have some effect (right?).
But most importantly, the real estate market itself is adjusting. With prices running 20%, 25% and even in some cases 30% below what they were in 2005, Buyers are now starting to come back into the market place. All markets are cyclical and anyone with a rudimentary knowledge of economics knows that the bottom of the market is the point of maximum financial opportunity. That old Buy Low, Sell High thing.
The Federal Reserve usually likes to remain out of the limelight as an election approaches so I expect interest rates to remain unchanged for the rest of this year. There has been discussion in Congress about a second stimulus package. (There will be a tax hike next year to pay for that but in an election year they send us money). A combination of lowered demand and consumer adjustment to the new reality of high energy costs will help lessen the drag from that segment of the economy. These facts should combine to make the second half of this year and the beginning of 2009 an ideal time to buy into the mid coast Maine real estate market.
For an overview of every home in Lincoln County on the market right now, be sure to check out our website. Or for specific information register with one of our brokers for regular email updates of the homes for sale in the category you'd like buy in.
Jim Cosgrove
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